CS:GO Cases Unboxed the Last Month

Cases unboxed the last month

Frequently Asked Questions

How was the chart created?

To provide an explanation on the calculations used to derive the figures on this website, we would like to present a detailed account of how the quantity of unboxed Operation Broken Fang cases was calculated. To this end, please direct your attention to the csgofloat.com database, which displays the total number of Glock-18 Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) items in public inventories.
By constantly monitoring this database, we at all times know how many new skins have been added to the database in a given timeframe. To determine the quantity of unboxed Operation Broken Fang cases, the following formula was employed:

(Amount of new skins in the database) ÷ (Chance of Covert) ÷ (Chance of this specific Covert) ÷ (Chance of Battle-Scarred Condition) = Cases unboxed

What uncertaintes must be accounted for?

It is possible that the figures provided may have a variance either higher or lower than their actual values. The use of trade-ups can result in an overestimation of the figures, while the presence of skins in private inventories can lead to an underestimation.

How was the chance of obtaining a Battle-Scarred condition calculated?

To determine the probability of obtaining a Battle-Scarred condition, a frequently dropped Souvenir skin within the float value range of 0 to 1 was analyzed. The total number of Battle-Scarred skins for that particular Souvenir skin was then divided by the total number of skins, with the assumption that the distribution of conditions accurately represents the actual distribution since Souvenir skins cannot be traded up for.

It is worth noting that this calculation is complicated by the fact that not every covert skin in these cases has a float value between 0 and 1. As a result, the chance of receiving a Battle-Scarred skin can vary depending on the specific skin. Nonetheless, this variability has been accounted for in the calculations provided.